随着在乌克兰战争中伤亡持续上升,俄罗斯当局正通过强化招募手段来避免启动新一轮大规模动员。[1]西方估计俄罗斯每月伤亡超过30,000人,[1]克里姆林宫目前采取提高奖金、加强地方招募目标和更为强硬的招募措施等方式,以缓解人员补充压力。[1]
自2022年9月上一次招募300,000名预备役以来,俄罗斯已通过合同制募兵招募约130万名士兵。[1]当前俄罗斯每天招募约1,000名士兵,[1]地方政府因完成招募任务获得至少7.7亿卢布(9,600万美元)奖励。[1]
2022年的动员令曾在俄国内引发大规模混乱并导致普京支持率下降,[1]这使克里姆林宫更加谨慎。当前民调显示,相信乌克兰战争进展顺利的俄罗斯人比例已降至2022年4月以来的最低水平。[1]
As Russia's war in Ukraine approaches its fifth year, the Kremlin faces mounting pressure to maintain military manpower without resorting to a second large-scale mobilization. Russia has recruited approximately 1.3 million contract soldiers since its last major mobilization in September 2022, when it conscripted 300,000 reservists.[1] However, with current battlefield losses exceeding 30,000 personnel per month and voluntary recruitment slowing, the military is struggling to sustain these casualty rates.[1]
Rather than announce a new mobilization order—a move that triggered widespread domestic turmoil and damaged President Putin's approval ratings in 2022—authorities are intensifying coercive recruitment practices.[1] Russian forces are recruiting roughly 1,000 soldiers daily, supplemented by aggressive incentive schemes.[1] Regional governments have been awarded at least 770 million rubles (approximately 96 million dollars) in bonuses to meet recruitment targets.[1] Despite these efforts, analysts warn that existing recruitment systems may be insufficient to fill personnel gaps at current casualty levels.[1] Public confidence in Russia's military progress has simultaneously deteriorated to its lowest point since April 2022, according to current polling data.[1]