澳大利亚房地产市场在冬季遭遇明显调整,全国首都城市93%的郊区房产价值出现下跌,中位数房价从103万澳元跌至99.04万澳元,跌幅达4万澳元1。这一下跌比例较秋季翻了一番,反映出市场压力的加剧1。首都城市房产价值在8月下跌1.1%,过去三个月的跌幅则扩大至3.7%1。
悉尼地区成为下跌最快的城市,三个月内房价下跌4.7%,中位数房价跌破150万澳元1。从更长期看,悉尼和墨尔本房产价值与去年同期相比分别下跌4.6%和4.7%1。高端房产表现不佳,今年迄今下跌3.3%,而单位和公寓类房产下跌1.8%1。房产价值已连续五个月下跌,与3月高峰相比累计跌幅达3.6%1。
这轮调整的主要推手包括高利率、联邦政府预算中关于负扣税和资本利得税优惠的改革,以及持续的房价可负担性危机1。澳大利亚储备银行预计将现金利率推至4.6%以应对高通胀1。市场观察人士指出,"这已从更集中的高价值部分缓解演变为更普遍的软化"1。
待售房屋数量比去年同期增加了24%,反映出市场活跃度变化1。与此同时,租赁市场压力未见缓解,过去12个月要价租金上涨5.7%,过去五年的涨幅达到39%1。租赁空置率缓解至1.9%,为去年1月以来的最高水平1。
Australia's real estate market experienced significant declines over the winter season, with the median national capital city house price dropping from $1.03 million to $990,400, representing a $40,000 decrease 1. The downturn affected 93% of suburbs across the nation's capital cities, more than double the proportion that declined during autumn 1.
Sydney led the decline, with house values falling 4.7% over the three-month winter period—the steepest drop nationally 1. The city's median house price slipped below $1.5 million, marking a monthly decline of 1.8% 1. Capital city property values have now contracted for five consecutive months, down 3.6% from their March peak 1. High-end properties have fared worse than lower-priced segments, falling 3.3% year-to-date compared to a 1.8% decline in units and apartments 1.
The downturn has been driven by elevated interest rates, federal tax policy changes affecting negative gearing and capital gains tax concessions announced in the May budget, and ongoing housing affordability pressures 1. The Reserve Bank is expected to push the cash rate to 4.6% in response to persistent inflation 1. Meanwhile, the rental market has tightened, with vacancy rates easing to 1.9%—the highest since January last year—while asking rents have surged 5.7% over the past 12 months and 39% over five years 1. The number of properties listed for sale has increased 24% compared to the same period a year earlier 1.
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