受进口饲料成本上涨、禽流感风险以及年末消费需求增加等多重因素影响，日本鸡蛋零售价格近期刷新纪录。根据10月19日至21日的调查数据，日本10个装鸡蛋的平均零售价格达到312日元（约合人民币13.2元），较9月上涨3日元，创下自2003年8月以来的最高水平 1。在大阪某超市，10个装大号鸡蛋的售价甚至高达343日元（约合人民币14.5元） 1。这一价格波动折射出日本家庭正面临持续的物价压力，东京核心消费者价格指数（CPI）同比涨幅达2.6%，而全国CPI同比涨幅为2.1% 1。
导致蛋价飙升的直接原因之一是生产成本的显著上升。日本全国农业协同组合联合会决定将2026年10月至12月的饲料供应价格平均每吨上调约3200日元，这已是该机构连续第四个季度提高饲料价格 1。此外，禽类养殖端的供给冲击也不容忽视，在2022年至2023年的禽流感季中，日本约有1771万只家禽被扑杀 1。目前，食品与能源价格的剧烈波动已成为日本央行制定货币政策时的重要考量因素 1。数据显示，剔除生鲜食品后的东京10月核心CPI同比上涨2.6%，而9月日本全国剔除生鲜食品和能源后的CPI指数同比上涨2.4% 1。
A survey conducted between October 19 and 21 revealed that the average retail price for a pack of 10 eggs in Japan reached 312 yen (approximately 13.2 yuan RMB), marking an increase of 3 yen from September levels 1. This figure represents the highest price recorded since August 2003 1. The upward trend is visibly reflected at the local level, with one supermarket in Osaka selling a 10-pack of large eggs for 343 yen (approximately 14.5 yuan RMB) 1.
The surge in egg prices is driven by multiple factors, including rising costs for imported feed, risks associated with avian influenza, and increased consumer demand toward the end of the year 1. In response to cost pressures, the National Federation of Agricultural Co-operative Associations has decided to raise the supply price of feed by an average of approximately 3,200 yen per ton for the period from October to December 2026, which marks the fourth consecutive quarterly increase 1. Historical data indicates significant impact from disease outbreaks, as approximately 17.71 million poultry were culled in Japan during the 2022–2023 avian influenza season 1.
These commodity fluctuations contribute to broader inflationary pressures affecting household expenditures. Data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications shows that Tokyo's core consumer price index, excluding fresh food, rose by 2.6% year-on-year in October 1. Nationally, the Consumer Price Index increased by 2.1% year-on-year in September, while the index excluding both fresh food and energy climbed by 2.4% 1. Volatility in food and energy prices remains a key consideration for the Bank of Japan when formulating monetary policy 1.
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