澳大利亚房价自3月峰值以来已下跌5.2%，回落至一年前水平1。其中布里斯班和悉尼受创最重，两城9月份分别下跌1.5%和1.4%1。布里斯班中位房价目前为105万澳元，自5月以来下滑5.9万澳元1；悉尼中位房价从3月高峰计算已下跌8.6%，跌幅达11.2万澳元1。墨尔本房价也从2025年11月的水平下跌7.2%，下降6.3万澳元1。
房价下行的主要推手是澳洲储备银行的持续加息政策。央行本周二实施了第四次加息1，四次加息累计已削减年薪108,650澳元员工的借贷能力47,400澳元1。澳储行行长Michele Bullock表示央行在决定加息前曾考虑过按兵不动1。经济学家普遍看空后市，AMP首席经济学家Shane Oliver预计房价可能至少下跌10%，在风险情景下甚至可能下跌15%1。
尽管加息压力持续，政府的支持政策仍在发挥作用。澳大利亚政府扩大的首次购房者5%定金计划自推出以来已支持超过10.2万人1，自6月以来平均每月有8,400个新首次购房者获得支持1。
Australian property values have declined 5.2% from their March peak, returning to levels seen a year ago.1 Brisbane and Sydney experienced the steepest declines, with Brisbane's median house price falling to A$1.05 million after losing A$59,000 since May, while Sydney saw an 8.6% drop of A$112,000 from its March high.1 Melbourne prices fell 7.2%, representing an A$63,000 decrease.1
The Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to raise interest rates for the fourth time this year is accelerating the housing market downturn.1 The four interest rate increases implemented this year have reduced borrowing capacity by A$47,400 for employees earning the average annual salary of A$108,650.1 Despite these headwinds, the government's first home buyer deposit scheme has supported more than 102,000 people since its expansion, with an average of 8,400 new first-time buyers receiving assistance each month since June.1
Economists expect the decline to deepen further. AMP's chief economist Shane Oliver warned that house prices could fall at least 10%, with a downside risk scenario potentially seeing a 15% decline.1 Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the decision was not straightforward, noting the central bank had considered holding rates steady before ultimately deciding to proceed with the increase.1
评论
还没有评论，欢迎留下第一条。