尽管澳大利亚房产市场面临数十年来最陡峭的价格下滑，但获利仍然可观。根据数据提供商Cotality的最新研究，6月季度95.4%的住房销售仍实现盈利1，卖家合计获利359亿澳元1。这一利润率虽然略低于3月份创下的21年高点96.1%，但仍被描述为"异常高"1。Cotality研究主管Gerard Burg表示，"大多数卖家仍受益于过去五年积累的重大价值增长"1。
房价下滑与资产缓冲的共同作用支撑了这一现象。6月季度全国住房价值环比下跌1.5%，但与六年前相比仍上升超过67%1，这使得多年强劲增长为大多数房屋所有者积累了充足的资产缓冲1。获利售出的房屋中位持有时间为9.3年，而亏损售出的房屋中位持有时间仅为4.4年1。不同房型的表现存在差异，97.8%的独立屋以利润售出，而只有90.5%的公寓单位获利1。地域差异也很明显，悉尼利润销售占比为92.7%，总利润达66亿澳元；布里斯班利润销售占比高达99.8%1。
尽管获利房屋占比仍高，但市场疲软的迹象已经显现。全国中位收益从纪录高位37.8万澳元降至37.1万澳元1。多位经济学家预期房价总跌幅将达10%或以上，将是40多年来最深的下跌1。
Despite Australia experiencing its steepest housing price decline in decades, the vast majority of property sales continue to generate substantial returns for sellers. According to research from data provider Cotality, 95.4% of residential sales in the June quarter were profitable 1, though this represents a slight decline from the March quarter's 21-year high of 96.1% 1. Sellers collectively reaped AUD 359 billion in profits during the quarter 1.
The national housing market saw values contract by 1.5% in the June quarter compared to the previous quarter 1, yet prices remain more than 67% higher than six years ago 1. This backdrop of sustained long-term gains has provided most homeowners with sufficient equity buffers to weather the current downturn. Cotality research director Gerard Burg observed that "most sellers continue to benefit from significant value growth accumulated over the past five years" 1. Properties sold at a loss had a median holding period of 4.4 years, while profitable sales showed a median holding time of 9.3 years 1.
The profitability picture varies across property types and regions. Independent houses achieved a 97.8% profit rate upon sale, while only 90.5% of apartment units were sold profitably 1. Sydney generated AUD 66 billion in total profits with 92.7% of sales profitable, while Brisbane recorded a 99.8% profitable sales ratio 1. The national median gain declined from a record AUD 378,000 to AUD 371,000 1. Multiple economists predict total house price declines could reach 10% or more, representing the deepest downturn in over 40 years 1.
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