美国特朗普政府正与伊朗就霍尔木兹海峡重新开放进行谈判，双方声称协议已接近达成。[1]这条战略性水道承载全球20%的石油运输。[1]两国的核心分歧在于伊朗对海峡的控制权，伊朗坚持保留某种程度的控制权，而美国政府已多次表示强烈反对任何允许伊朗收费或控制的安排。[1]
谈判中提出的一个可能的临时协议方案设想船舶通过伊朗控制的路线进入波斯湾，再通过阿曼控制的路线离开。[1]目前海峡的通航状况严峻，上周船舶通过次数仅为84次，远低于危机前每周700多次的常规水平。[1]一名美国官员表示特朗普倾向于外交手段，声称他"掌握所有筹码"。[1]特朗普声称美国军事储备"数量庞大"，但五角大楼因伊朗战争面临高级武器库存下降问题。[1]
分析人士指出，任何妥协对特朗普都将困难重重，因为他将其视为示弱的表现，但经济压力可能促使他做出让步。[1]
The Trump administration is engaged in negotiations with Iran regarding reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with both sides indicating that an agreement is within reach [1]. The central point of contention revolves around Iran's control over this critical global energy transportation hub—Iran insists on retaining some degree of authority, while the U.S. government opposes any arrangement that would allow Iran to impose fees or exercise control over the waterway [1].
The Strait of Hormuz handles approximately 20 percent of the world's oil traffic [1]. Shipping through the chokepoint has plummeted dramatically, with only 84 vessel transits recorded last week compared to the pre-crisis norm of over 700 weekly passages [1]. One possible interim agreement under consideration would involve ships entering the Persian Gulf via an Iran-controlled route while exiting through an Oman-controlled route [1].
Any compromise on the matter will prove politically difficult for Trump, as he views concessions as a sign of weakness [1]. However, economic pressures could compel him to make concessions [1]. A U.S. official indicated that Trump favors diplomatic solutions, noting that he "holds all the cards" [1]. The Trump administration has repeatedly expressed strong opposition to any deal allowing Iran to collect fees from transiting vessels [1]. While Trump has claimed that U.S. military reserves are "substantial in quantity," the Pentagon has faced declining high-end weapons inventory levels due to the Iran conflict [1].