美国联邦地区法院法官罗伯特·谢尔比（Robert Shelby）周二驳回了预测市场平台Kalshi的诉讼请求，裁定犹他州可以继续执行其严格的反赌博法律[1]。Kalshi曾在2月提起诉讼要求阻止该州实施相关限制措施，但遭到法官驳回[1]。根据犹他州现行法律，体育命题下注（即关于比赛中特定事件的赌注）被明确禁止[1]。
犹他州检察长德里克·布朗（Derek Brown）表示"赌博就是赌博，无论任何公司如何称呼它"[1]，而州长斯宾塞·考克斯（Spencer Cox）则称预测市场"对无数美国家庭造成了巨大伤害"[1]。在全国范围内，各州法院对Kalshi的态度存在分歧——马里兰州、内华达州、俄亥俄州、纽约州和威斯康星州法院做出了对Kalshi不利的判决，而新泽西州、田纳西州、亚利桑那州和明尼苏达州法院则支持Kalshi[1]。
U.S. District Judge Robert Shelby ruled on Tuesday that Utah may enforce its strict anti-gambling laws against the prediction market platform Kalshi, rejecting the company's legal challenge [1]. Kalshi had filed suit in February seeking to block the state's enforcement measures, but the court dismissed the case [1]. Under Utah law, sports proposition betting—wagers on specific events within a game—is prohibited, a restriction that affects a significant revenue stream for major prediction market platforms [1].
The ruling reflects a broader legal landscape in which prediction markets face inconsistent outcomes across different states [1]. While courts in Maryland, Nevada, Ohio, New York, and Wisconsin have sided with state restrictions similar to Utah's, other jurisdictions including New Jersey, Tennessee, Arizona, and Minnesota have ruled in favor of Kalshi [1]. Utah Attorney General Derek Brown stated that "gambling is gambling, no matter what any company calls it" [1]. Governor Spencer Cox has argued that prediction markets have "caused tremendous harm to countless American families" [1]. Meanwhile, the Trump administration has expressed support for prediction markets, with Trump's eldest son serving as an advisor and investor in both Kalshi and Polymarket [1].