美联储7月会议记录显示,多位官员认为如果通胀形势不见好转,未来数月可能需要提高基准短期利率1。美联储在该次会议上以9:3的投票结果决议维持利率在约3.6%不变1。目前华尔街投资者预期美联储将在9月会议上保持利率水平,可能在12月启动加息1。
美国就业市场继续展现韧性。上周失业申请人数降至206,000人,较前一周修正后的212,000人有所下滑1。四周平均失业申请数为204,000人,较前一周的199,750人有小幅上升1。过去一年,每周失业申请人数一直维持在200,000至230,000人的历史低位1。
在住房贷款市场方面,30年期固定抵押贷款利率从6.67%下降至6.65%,但仍高于去年同期的6.58%1;15年期固定抵押贷款利率为5.95%,前周为5.96%,一年前为5.69%1。美国股市周五上涨,债券市场波动趋于缓和1。
Federal Reserve officials are preparing to raise benchmark short-term interest rates in coming months if inflation fails to subside, according to meeting records released this week 1. Minutes from the Fed's July 28-29 session indicate that many policymakers believe further rate increases may be necessary should price pressures persist 1. At that meeting, twelve of nineteen Fed officials voted to maintain the benchmark rate at approximately 3.6 percent 1.
The labor market continues to show resilience, with unemployment claims falling to 206,000 last week from a revised 212,000 the previous week 1. The four-week average of jobless claims rose slightly to 204,000 from 199,750, though claims have remained near historic lows, hovering between 200,000 and 230,000 weekly over the past year 1. Meanwhile, mortgage rates edged down marginally, with the 30-year fixed rate declining to 6.65 percent from 6.67 percent, though it remains higher than the 6.58 percent recorded a year ago 1. The 15-year fixed rate stood at 5.95 percent, down from 5.96 percent the previous week but above the 5.69 percent level from twelve months prior 1. Market participants currently anticipate the Fed will hold rates steady at its next meeting in September, with potential increases possibly coming in December 1.
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