中国7月份宏观经济数据表现不佳，工业增加值年增4.5%，较6月的5.3%明显回落1；社会消费品零售总额仅年增0.6%，远低于市场预期1。在此背景下，中共中央财经委员会于8月22日在人民日报发文强调，"观察中国经济，不能仅看速度，更不能纠结于个别季度、月份指标数据的高低"1，并表示中国经济具有强大韧性与活力，经济长期向好的条件未变1。
上半年中国GDP增长4.7%，处于全年4.5%至5%目标区间中段1。官方指出，下半年整体GDP平均需增长4.3%至5.3%才能达到全年目标下限或上限1。装备制造业和高技术制造业上半年分别增长9.3%和13.3%1，成为经济增长的亮点。
China's July macroeconomic indicators showed significant deterioration, with industrial production and consumer spending falling short of expectations.1 Industrial output growth slowed to 4.5 percent year-on-year, down from 5.3 percent in June, while retail sales grew just 0.6 percent annually, far below market forecasts.1
In response, the Central Committee for Financial and Economic Affairs published a statement on August 22 emphasizing that economic performance should not be assessed solely by growth speed.1 The committee stressed that "observing China's economy cannot focus only on speed, much less fixate on the ups and downs of individual quarterly or monthly data."1 Officials underscored that the Chinese economy retains strong resilience and vitality, with conditions for long-term positive growth unchanged.1
Despite the weakness, high-value-added sectors showed resilience, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing output rising 9.3 percent and 13.3 percent respectively in the first half of the year.1 China's first-half GDP expanded 4.7 percent, landing in the middle of the government's full-year target range of 4.5 to 5 percent.1
Analysts note that achieving the upper limit of this target would require consecutive sharp rebounds in the third and fourth quarters, with average second-half growth needing to reach between 4.3 and 5.3 percent depending on the target endpoint.1
评论
还没有评论，欢迎留下第一条。