澳大利亚区域房地产市场进入下行阶段

澳大利亚地产分析公司Cotality的最新数据显示，该国区域房地产市场已步入下行周期1。在过去一个季度内，区域住宅价值下跌0.1%，而首都城市房价跌幅更大，达到2.5%1。Cotality分析的50个最大非首都区域市场中，有47个增长放缓，其中22个出现房价下跌1。

这一转变源于多重因素共同作用1。澳大利亚储备银行今年已三次加息，当前利率维持在4.35%1，这与生活成本危机和联邦税收改革共同压低了购房需求和消费者信心1。联邦在5月预算中公布的住房税收改革，包括负扣税和资本收益税规则的调整，将于明年生效1。

Cotality研究主管Gerard Burg表示，区域澳大利亚的房价将在未来几个月继续下跌1。

Australia's regional property market has entered a downturn phase, with regional residential values declining 0.1 percent over the past quarter while capital city prices fell 2.5 percent, according to data from real estate analysis firm Cotality 1. The slowdown affects the majority of major non-capital markets, with 47 of the 50 largest regional markets Cotality analyzed experiencing growth deceleration and 22 recording price declines 1.

Multiple factors have driven this market shift, including rate increases from the Reserve Bank of Australia, which has raised rates three times this year and currently maintains the official rate at 4.35 percent 1, combined with rising living costs and federal tax reforms announced in the May budget 1. The forthcoming changes to housing-related taxation rules, including modifications to negative gearing and capital gains tax treatment, are scheduled to take effect next year and are expected to dampen demand 1.

Despite the recent downturn, capital cities have recorded substantial gains over the longer term, with prices rising 26.6 percent over the five-year period through July 2026 1. Regional variations remain pronounced, with Perth posting a 92.9 percent increase, Brisbane climbing 78.6 percent, and Adelaide rising 76.9 percent over the same timeframe 1. Gerard Burg, research director at Cotality, has indicated that regional Australian property prices are expected to continue declining in the coming months 1.