英国7月房价环比仅上涨0.1%，年增长率从6月的2.2%回落至1.8%1。根据Nationwide数据，平均房价升至£277,5421，较5月高点£278,000有所下滑1。经济不确定性和利率前景不明导致购房者持观望态度，市场增长动力明显减弱。
地缘政治局势加重了市场不确定性。Nationwide首席经济学家Robert Gardner指出，"地缘政治紧张局势仍在，伊朗与美国冲突对能源价格和市场利率施压"1。英国央行维持基准利率3.75%不变1，同时警告伊朗战争升级可能将明年通胀推至4%以上1。房屋建筑商Taylor Wimpey受市场疲软影响，股价下跌近6%1，并下调今年预期完成建房数量至10,600-10,800套1。
在住房供应结构方面，2024-25年近200,000户从私人租赁转为业主1，但约100,000户发生反向流动1。
UK house prices increased by only 0.1% in July, according to data from Nationwide, with the annual growth rate declining to 1.8% from 2.2% in June 1. The average property price reached £277,542, down slightly from the May peak of £278,000 1.
The modest price movement reflects persistent caution among buyers in the face of economic uncertainty and interest rate concerns 1. Nationwide's Robert Gardner attributed ongoing market pressure to geopolitical tensions, stating that "tensions remain and Iran-US conflict is putting pressure on energy prices and market rates" 1. The Bank of England maintained its base rate at 3.75% while warning that an escalation of conflict in Iran could push inflation above 4% next year 1. Housebuilder Taylor Wimpey reported a near 6% drop in its share price and lowered its forecast for completed units to between 10,600 and 10,800, below the range previously projected in March 1.
During the period, approximately 200,000 households moved from private rental to owner-occupation in 2024-25, though some 100,000 moved in the opposite direction 1.
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