英国央行7月30日召开货币政策会议，决定维持基准利率在3.75%的水平不变1。投票结果为6比3，其中三名委员主张将利率上调至4%，理由是中东冲突可能推高能源价格，加剧通胀压力1。而多数委员认为当前通胀形势相对平稳，主张采取观望态度1。
英国央行行长贝利表示，全球经济不确定性正在上升，维持现有利率符合当下的经济形势1。央行预期通胀指标要到2028年初才能回归2%的目标水平1。市场分析人士普遍预判，英国央行大概率会在今年年末至明年期间启动降息操作1。
The Bank of England kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75% following a monetary policy meeting on July 30, 2026 1. The decision was made by a 6-3 vote, with three members advocating for an increase to 4% due to concerns that Middle East tensions could drive up energy prices and exacerbate inflation 1.
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that rising global economic uncertainty makes maintaining the current interest rate appropriate for present economic conditions 1. The central bank projects inflation will not return to its 2% target until early 2028 1. The majority of the committee believed inflation was following a stable path and adopted a cautious stance rather than implementing immediate policy adjustments 1.
Market analysts widely expect the Bank of England to begin rate cuts sometime between the end of 2026 and 2027 1.
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