英国央行7月30日召开货币政策会议，决定维持基准利率在3.75%的水平不变[1]。投票结果为6比3，其中三名委员主张将利率上调至4%，理由是中东冲突可能推高能源价格，加剧通胀压力[1]。而多数委员认为当前通胀形势相对平稳，主张采取观望态度[1]。
英国央行行长贝利表示，全球经济不确定性正在上升，维持现有利率符合当下的经济形势[1]。央行预期通胀指标要到2028年初才能回归2%的目标水平[1]。市场分析人士普遍预判，英国央行大概率会在今年年末至明年期间启动降息操作[1]。
The Bank of England kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75% following a monetary policy meeting on July 30, 2026 [1]. The decision was made by a 6-3 vote, with three members advocating for an increase to 4% due to concerns that Middle East tensions could drive up energy prices and exacerbate inflation [1].
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that rising global economic uncertainty makes maintaining the current interest rate appropriate for present economic conditions [1]. The central bank projects inflation will not return to its 2% target until early 2028 [1]. The majority of the committee believed inflation was following a stable path and adopted a cautious stance rather than implementing immediate policy adjustments [1].
Market analysts widely expect the Bank of England to begin rate cuts sometime between the end of 2026 and 2027 [1].