私人银行Coutts的研究显示,在梅费尔(Mayfair)、贝尔格莱维亚(Belgravia)和骑士桥(Knightsbridge)等伦敦最昂贵的邮政编码区域,八成房产的成交价低于挂牌价 1。2026年第三季度,伦敦核心高端区(Prime Central London)房价下跌5%,平均较挂牌价折让10% 1。这一趋势主要受脱欧、疫情、税负增加及借贷成本上升等因素影响 1。
最高端房产的价格比2014年的峰值低14%,其中骑士桥和贝尔格莱维亚分别比峰值低30.8%和26.9% 1。在市场整体交易放缓的背景下,200万至500万英镑价位的交易量下降了22.3%,整体交易量下降9.1% 1。尽管新挂牌量减少,但Savills数据显示,过去一年内共有26笔超过1000万英镑的交易完成,总额达28.8亿英镑 1。
英格兰银行的基准利率目前维持在3.75%,但市场预期下周可能加息至4% 1。此外,由于非居民税制(non-dom tax regime)被废除,外国买家对伦敦房产的兴趣有所放缓 1。
A study by private bank Coutts reveals that 80% of homes in London’s most exclusive postcodes are currently selling below their asking price. The report identifies an average discount of 10% across prime central neighborhoods such as Mayfair, Belgravia, and Knightsbridge. 1 This trend reflects a broader downturn, with property prices in the core prime areas falling by 5% during the third quarter of 2026. 1
Several factors are driving this shift, including lingering effects from Brexit and the pandemic, alongside increased tax burdens and higher borrowing costs. 1 Foreign buyer interest has specifically slowed due to the abolition of the non-dom tax regime. 1 In terms of volume, transactions for properties valued between £2 million and £5 million dropped by 22.3%, contributing to an overall decline of 9.1% in total sales activity. 1 Prices at the highest end of the market remain significantly below their historical peaks; top-tier homes are now trading at 14% less than their 2014 maximums, while Knightsbridge and Belgravia have seen declines of 30.8% and 26.9% respectively compared to those peak values. 1
Despite the general slowdown, ultra-prime segments show resilience. Data from Savills indicates continued activity in the luxury tier, recording 26 transactions exceeding £10 million in the third quarter alone. 1 Over the past year, these high-value deals have totaled £2.88 billion. 1 Market conditions remain sensitive to monetary policy, with the Bank of England base rate currently holding at 3.75%, though analysts anticipate a potential increase to 4% in the coming week. 1
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