2026年10月29日,美国商务部公布数据显示,美国第三季度实际国内生产总值(GDP)环比按年率计算增长3.4%,该增速高于第二季度的2.2%,且好于市场预期 1。从构成来看,个人消费支出增长3.8%,非住宅类固定资产投资增长12.7%,其中人工智能领域投资表现突出 1。然而,净出口对当季经济增长造成拖累,导致GDP增速减少3.32个百分点,具体表现为商品与服务出口下降5.7%,进口增长19.7% 1。此外,首次申请失业救济人数为19.4万人,少于市场预期 1。
同日,美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在3.75%至4%不变 1。美联储主席沃什指出:“美国经济增长强劲,通胀高企,抗击通胀是美联储的责任” 1。
The U.S. economy expanded at an annualized rate of 3.4% in the third quarter, according to data released by the Commerce Department on October 29, 2026 1. This growth rate surpassed both the general market consensus and the 2.2% increase recorded in the second quarter 1. The performance was primarily driven by a 3.8% rise in personal consumption expenditures and a robust 12.7% jump in non-residential fixed asset investment, particularly within the artificial intelligence sector 1.
However, net exports weighed heavily on economic output, dragging it down by 3.32 percentage points 1. This negative contribution resulted from a 5.7% decline in exports of goods and services alongside a significant 19.7% surge in imports 1. On the labor front, initial claims for unemployment benefits came in at 194,000, lower than market forecasts 1.
In parallel with the GDP release, the Federal Reserve announced that it would keep its federal funds rate target range unchanged between 3.75% and 4% 1. Fed Chair Warsh commented on the current economic landscape, stating, "U.S. economic growth is strong, inflation remains high, and fighting inflation is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve" 1.
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