澳大利亚财政部警告中东战争经济风险加剧

澳大利亚财政部发出预警，中东战争对经济造成的风险正在加剧1。油价因美国和伊朗之间备忘录瓦解而上升1，全球石油市场目前处于"更脆弱"的状态，原油价格可能在短期内维持高位1。财政部长Jim Chalmers表示："从经济角度看，战争的真正和永久结束不能来得太早"1。

政府在7月提供的燃油补贴（每升约16分）将于周日结束1，当局尚未决定是否将该折扣延续至8月1。财政部警告，若油价在9月升至200美元每桶，可能导致头条通胀率达到约7.25%1。澳大利亚统计局将于周三发布最新月度通胀数据，这是澳储行8月10日至11日会议前的最后一次数据发布1。

Australia's Treasury Department has warned that the economic risks stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict are intensifying, with oil prices rising following the collapse of a memorandum between the United States and Iran 1. The global oil market has become "more fragile" and crude prices are likely to remain elevated in the near term, according to Treasury assessments 1.

The Australian government's July fuel excise discount, worth approximately 16 cents per liter, is set to expire on Sunday, and the government has not yet determined whether to extend the measure into August 1. In a concerning scenario outlined by Treasury, should oil prices reach $200 per barrel by September, headline inflation could reach approximately 7.25 percent 1. Treasurer Jim Chalmers remarked that "from an economic perspective, a genuine and lasting end to the war cannot come too soon" 1.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will release the latest monthly inflation data on Wednesday, which will be the final economic indicator available before the Reserve Bank's policy meeting scheduled for August 10–11 1.