澳大利亚汽油价格正面临新一轮上涨压力。政府的燃油消费税减免措施将于下月结束，同时国际油价持续走高，两股因素叠加可能令澳洲汽油价格重新突破每升2澳元。1布伦特原油价格已从72美元/桶上升至96美元/桶。18月2日恢复的16澳分/升燃油税将直接增加消费者负担，而国际油价每上升1美元约导致本地汽油价格上升1澳分/升。1
经济学家警示，这不是一次性冲击。国家澳洲银行的经济学家表示，"成本冲击看起来不是一次性峰值，而是更长期和持久的。"1Commonwealth Bank首席经济学家Belinda Allen指出，高油价既威胁通胀也威胁经济增长。1当前澳大利亚失业率为4.4%，高于澳储行预期的4.2%，其中维多利亚州失业率升至5.1%。1
Australia faces mounting pressure on fuel prices as a government tax relief measure expires next month, coinciding with a sharp rise in international crude costs.1 The expiration of the fuel excise cut will restore a 16-cent-per-litre tax on August 2, adding to the upward pressure already being felt at the pump.1 Brent crude oil prices have surged from USD 72 per barrel to USD 96 per barrel, with economists warning that this represents sustained pressure rather than a temporary spike.1 Each USD 1 increase in oil prices translates to approximately 1 cent per litre in Australian petrol prices, creating the conditions for fuel costs to breach the AUD 2 per litre mark once more.1
Experts caution that Australia's economic challenges extend beyond the immediate impact of higher petrol costs.1 According to a National Australia Bank economist, the cost shock "does not appear to be a one-off peak but rather something that is longer term and more sustained."1 Commonwealth Bank Chief Economist Belinda Allen has highlighted that elevated oil prices pose a dual threat—simultaneously pressuring inflation while constraining economic growth.1 These concerns emerge as Australia's labour market shows signs of softening, with unemployment rising to 4.4% in June, above the Reserve Bank's expectation of 4.2%, though employment additions for the month exceeded 76,000 positions.1 Victoria state has experienced a particularly sharp deterioration, with its unemployment rate climbing to 5.1%.1
评论
还没有评论，欢迎留下第一条。