美智庫估中共五中全會出席率不到8成 或再創新低

美國亞洲協會發佈報告預測，中共20屆五中全會將於26日至29日在北京召開，預計出席人數約291人，其中161名中央委員和130名候補中委，出席率為77.4%1。這一出席率將低於上屆四中全會的83.8%，或再創毛澤東後歷屆全會新低1。

報告分析了無法出席全會的中央委員情況1。被開除人員包括20名中央委員和8名候補中委1；被查人員為15名中央委員和6名候補中委1；失蹤人員包括3名中央委員、5名候補中委、18名軍方委員和8名軍方候補中委1。報告還指出，今年前9個月已有71名文職高官和軍方將領被查，已超過去年全年的77人1。

The Asia Society, a U.S.-based think tank, released a report projecting that the Chinese Communist Party's 20th Central Committee Fifth Plenum will convene in Beijing from October 26 to 29, with an estimated attendance of approximately 291 delegates, representing a 77.4% attendance rate 1. This projection would mark a new low for plenary sessions since the Maoist era, falling below the previous Fourth Plenum attendance rate of 83.8% 1.

The report breaks down expected attendance as comprising 161 central committee members and 130 alternate committee members 1. According to the Asia Society's analysis, attendance gaps stem from multiple factors, including 20 central committee members and 8 alternate members who have been expelled, 15 central committee members and 6 alternate members under investigation, and 3 central committee members and 5 alternate members who have disappeared 1. Additionally, 18 military committee members and 8 military alternate members are listed as missing 1. The think tank noted that through the first nine months of the year, 71 civilian officials and military officers have been placed under investigation, already exceeding the 77 individuals investigated during the entirety of the previous year 1. The plenum is expected to focus on advancing comprehensive and stringent Party discipline as a central agenda item 1.