英国伦敦股市上市公司在截至9月底的三个月内发布65份利润预警，达到两年来的最高水平1。这一警示信号主要源于中东地区冲突导致的燃料和能源成本上升1。在发布的预警中，35%指向成本上升，其中38%特别提及中东冲突的影响1。
房屋建筑行业受冲击尤为严重1。今年迄今房屋建筑商已发布14份利润预警，超过了2008年金融危机期间的全年警告数量10份1。与此同时，房价过去12个月下跌0.1%，但10月新上市房屋的平均要价上升1%至371,015英镑1。抵押贷款成本的上升加重了购房者的负担——平均两年期固定抵押贷款利率已上升至5.55%，较上月的5.29%和2月的4.25%明显上升1，导致新贷款的平均月供增加约250英镑1。据测算，英国家庭过去五年在抵押贷款、贷款、能源和水费账单上平均支付近14,000英镑的额外成本1。
英国财政大臣约翰·希利计划在10月28日宣布预算案，其中包含帮助小型企业和首次购房者的措施1。政府拟将小企业商业税率起征点从12,000英镑提高至18,000英镑1。
UK-listed companies have issued 65 profit warnings in the three months ending September, marking the highest level in two years, with escalating costs driven by Middle East conflict emerging as a primary concern.1 Among these warnings, 35% cited rising costs as the main factor, while 38% specifically attributed challenges to the Middle East conflict.1
The housing sector has been particularly hard hit, with homebuilders issuing 14 profit warnings so far this year—already exceeding the 10 warnings recorded during the entire 2008 financial crisis.1 Property prices have fallen by 0.1% over the past 12 months, though newly listed homes in October saw average asking prices rise 1% to £371,015.1 The tightening financial conditions have also affected mortgage affordability; the average two-year fixed mortgage rate has climbed to 5.55%, up from 5.29% the previous month and 4.25% in February.1 This increase has resulted in average monthly mortgage payments rising by approximately £250 for new borrowers.1 Over the past five years, UK households have paid an average of nearly £14,000 in additional costs across mortgages, loans, energy bills, and water charges.1
The government is preparing measures to address economic pressures, with Chancellor John Healey expected to announce a budget on 28 October that includes support for small businesses and first-time homebuyers.1 One proposed measure involves raising the business rates threshold for small enterprises from £12,000 to £18,000.1
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