英国8月份国内生产总值环比增长0.1%,超越城市经济学家预测的萎缩0.1%的预期1。这一增长主要受制造业和生产部门强劲表现的支撑,该部门增速达0.8%1。尽管如此,消费者面向服务业同期下降0.3%,反映出能源成本上升和中东局势对消费的拖累1。
从更长期的表现看,英国经济显示出韧性迹象。三个月期间GDP增长0.7%,年同比增速达2.1%,为2022年8月以来最强水平1。国际货币基金组织本周上调了英国今年的增长预期,但同时警告能源价格上升将导致2027年增速放缓1。英格兰银行预计下月将利率从3.75%上调至4%1,财政大臣约翰·希利将于10月28日宣布新的税收和支出预算1。
Britain's economy expanded by 0.1% in August, defying forecasts from City economists who had predicted a contraction of the same magnitude 1. The expansion was driven primarily by robust performance in the manufacturing and production sectors, which grew 0.8% during the month 1, offsetting a 0.3% decline in consumer-facing services 1.
Over the longer term, the picture remains broadly positive. GDP growth over the three-month period reached 0.7%, while year-on-year expansion accelerated to 2.1%, the strongest rate since August 2022 1. The International Monetary Fund has upgraded Britain's growth forecast for the year, though it cautioned that rising energy prices will likely weigh on expansion in 2027 1. The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates next month from 3.75% to 4%, and Chancellor of the Exchequer John Hunt is scheduled to announce tax and spending plans on October 28 1.
Deutsche Bank's chief economist for the UK, Sanjay Raja, stated: "Britain's resilience story continues" 1.
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