美国9月份消费者价格指数(CPI)同比上涨3.7%,核心CPI同比上涨2.6%,双双超出市场预期1。这一数据公布后,市场对美联储加息的预期随之上升,美联储本月加息25个基点的概率被调高至接近50%1,同时预计到2027年底美联储或将累计再加息三次1。
受此影响,国际贵金属市场应声下跌1。黄金期货下跌1.66%,收盘报每盎司4107.90美元1;白银期货跌幅更为明显,大幅下跌6.13%,报每盎司55.877美元1。美元升值和美债收益率上行打压了贵金属价格1,美元指数短线拉升约30点1。
金融市场整体承压1。美国三大股指中,道指下跌0.09%,标普500指数下跌1.11%,纳指下跌1.88%1;费城半导体指数更是大幅下跌4.3%1。美国银行第三季度营收300亿美元,未达分析师预期,股价应声下跌近5%1。与此同时,欧洲三大股指全线收涨1。
地缘风险因素推高了能源价格1。纽约商品交易所11月交货的轻质原油期货价格收于每桶95.09美元,涨幅为1.01%1;伦敦布伦特原油期货价格收于每桶106.06美元,涨幅为0.35%1。
U.S. September consumer price data triggered a broader sell-off in precious metals on October 14, as stronger-than-expected inflation readings rekindled expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate increases.1
The September Consumer Price Index rose 3.7% year-over-year, while core CPI climbed 2.6% year-over-year, both exceeding market forecasts.1 These figures pushed market participants to raise the probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike this month to nearly 50%, and analysts now anticipate the central bank could deliver three additional rate increases by the end of 2027.1 The stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed heavily on precious metals, with gold futures declining 1.66% to close at $4,107.90 per ounce and silver futures dropping sharply by 6.13% to $55.877 per ounce.1 The dollar index climbed roughly 30 points.1
Equity markets also experienced pressure, with the Dow falling 0.09%, the S&P 500 declining 1.11%, and the Nasdaq dropping 1.88%.1 The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index posted a steeper loss of 4.3%.1 Bank of America's third-quarter revenue of $30 billion fell short of analyst expectations, sending its stock down nearly 5%.1 Energy markets moved in the opposite direction, as geopolitical risk factors supported crude oil prices, with November-delivery light crude futures rising 1.01% to $95.09 per barrel and Brent crude climbing 0.35% to $106.06 per barrel.1
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