英国政府债券收益率周四大幅上升,10年期债券收益率飙升至5.515%,创2007年7月以来的19年新高1。同时,20年期和30年期债券收益率也双双触及1998年以来的最高水平1。这波上升主要源于全球通胀担忧和国际债券市场的广泛抛售潮1。
经济学家预计,上升的借贷成本可能已抵消了前任财政大臣蕾切尔·里夫斯3月建立的约240亿英镑财政缓冲的大约一半或更多1。这一变化对财政大臣约翰·希利即将于10月28日宣布的首份预算案决策造成压力1。国际层面,美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特8月宣布增加美国国债回购,但30年期美债收益率仍从约5.235%飙升至5.7%以上1。国际货币基金组织总裁克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃呼吁各国政府收紧政策1,英格兰银行预计将在11月召开会议以应对通胀压力1。
The UK government's borrowing costs surged to their highest levels in nearly two decades, driven by mounting global inflation concerns and a broad international bond sell-off. The 10-year gilt yield climbed to 5.515% on Thursday, marking its peak since July 2007, while 20-year and 30-year bond yields reached their highest points since 1998.1
The sharp rise in borrowing costs threatens to undermine fiscal planning ahead of Chancellor John Healey's first budget announcement scheduled for October 28.1 Economists estimate that the increased cost of government borrowing has already eliminated approximately half—or potentially more—of the roughly £24 billion fiscal buffer that former Chancellor Rachel Reeves established in March.1
The surge reflects broader market turbulence, as evidenced by parallel movements in the United States, where the 30-year Treasury yield jumped above 5.7% despite US Treasury Secretary Scott Benson's announcement in August of increased buyback operations.1 IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva has urged governments to tighten their policy stances in response to prevailing economic conditions.1
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