世界银行上调东亚和太平洋地区2026年经济增速预测

世界银行6日发布东亚和太平洋地区经济半年报，将该地区2026年经济增速预测上调至4.5%，较4月的预测提高了0.3个百分点 1。这一向上修正主要源于参与人工智能价值链的经济体在高技术产品制造和出口方面表现强劲 1。

区域内多个主要经济体的增长预期均获得上调 1。其中，越南2026年经济增长预期上调1.1个百分点至7.4% 1，马来西亚上调0.7个百分点至5.1% 1，泰国同样上调0.7个百分点至2.0% 1。相比之下，太平洋岛国经济预计增长2.2%，较此前预期下调了0.5个百分点 1。

The World Bank released its semi-annual economic report on East Asia and the Pacific on October 6, raising its growth forecast for the region in 2026 to 4.5 percent, marking an increase of 0.3 percentage points from its April projection 1. The upward revision reflects robust performance in high-technology product manufacturing and exports among economies participating in artificial intelligence value chains 1.

Several individual economies in the region benefited from the improved outlook. Vietnam's 2026 growth forecast was raised by 1.1 percentage points to 7.4 percent, while Malaysia saw its projection increased by 0.7 percentage points to 5.1 percent 1. Thailand's growth estimate also rose by 0.7 percentage points to 2.0 percent 1. However, the forecast for Pacific island nations was adjusted downward to 2.2 percent, 0.5 percentage points lower than previously expected 1.