印度储备银行宣布将基准回购利率上调25个基点，从5.25%提高至5.5%1。这是自2023年2月以来的首次加息举措1。央行行长Sanjay Malhotra表示，降息"暂时不在考虑范围内"1。
此次加息主要应对日益增长的通胀压力。央行将2026-27年消费者物价指数通胀率预期从5%上调至5.2%1。全球油价居高不下也加剧了通胀风险，印度进口约90%的原油和50%的天然气需求1，而当前油价徘徊在每桶100美元以上1。与此同时，印度卢比对美元跌至历史低点附近1。尽管面临这些挑战，央行将国内生产总值增速预期上调40个基点至7.1%1。
India's central bank has raised its benchmark repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.5%, marking the first increase since February 2023 1. The Reserve Bank of India implemented the adjustment to address mounting inflationary pressures affecting the economy.
The RBI has revised its consumer price index inflation forecast for 2026-27 upward to 5.2%, compared to its previous estimate of 5% 1. The central bank cited several headwinds contributing to price pressures, including India's dependence on imported energy resources—the country imports approximately 90% of its crude oil and 50% of its natural gas requirements, with global oil prices hovering above $100 per barrel 1. Additionally, the Indian rupee has weakened to near historical lows against the U.S. dollar, further pressuring imported commodity costs 1.
Despite the rate hike, the RBI maintained a cautious stance on future monetary policy. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra stated that interest rate cuts are "temporarily not under consideration" 1. The central bank upgraded its growth forecast by 40 basis points to 7.1%, reflecting confidence in the economy's expansion trajectory 1.
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