投资基金Rebalance Earth发布的分析报告警告，英国主要粮食作物大多集中在干旱风险中等至极高的地区。1根据报告，81%的英格兰新鲜农产品、77%的小麦、75%的大麦、74%的油菜籽、70%的糖甜菜和67%的马铃薯生长在已面临水资源压力的地区。1其中约四分之一的主食作物位于急性干旱风险区，包括30%的小麦和大麦、28%的油菜籽和27%的新鲜农产品。1
2026年英格兰和威尔士的谷物收成表现令人失望，小麦、春大麦和燕麦的产量均低于历史平均水平。1干旱对粮食生产造成的连锁影响深远，Rebalance Earth的Kirsty Wilman表示，"干旱的影响贯穿整个经济：产量下降、供应链受压和我们购物篮中所有商品的价格上升"。1以吉尼斯家族所有的Elveden庄园为例，过去五年中有三年处于干旱条件下，该庄园年产食品10万吨。1
An analysis released by investment fund Rebalance Earth has highlighted a critical vulnerability in Britain's food security, revealing that the majority of the country's staple crops are cultivated in regions facing significant water stress.1 Eighty-one percent of England's fresh produce is grown in areas already experiencing water pressure, while 77 percent of wheat, 75 percent of barley, and 74 percent of oilseed rape are produced in regions classified as having medium to extremely high drought risk.1 The report also found that 70 percent of sugar beets and 67 percent of potatoes are located in drought-affected zones, with approximately one-quarter of essential food crops situated in acute drought-risk areas.1 Within these acute-risk zones, the concentration is even more severe: 30 percent of wheat and barley, 28 percent of oilseed rape, and 27 percent of fresh produce face the highest drought exposure.1
The concentration of production in vulnerable regions creates substantial economic implications across the food supply chain.1 According to the analysis, 2026 saw grain harvests in England and Wales described as "disappointing," with wheat, spring barley, and oat yields falling below historical averages.1 Kirsty Wilman noted that "the effects of drought ripple through the entire economy: lower yields, pressure on supply chains and rising prices for everything in our shopping baskets."1 The challenges are exemplified by Elveden Estate, owned by the Guinness family, which experienced drought conditions in three of the past five years despite producing 100,000 tonnes of food annually.1
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