澳大利亚8月失业率升至4.6%，创2021年11月以来的新高1，超过市场预期2。这一上升主要源于劳动力参与率提高而非就业人数下降1。自2025年12月以来，失业率已上升0.5个百分点，从4.1%升至目前水平1。同期就业不足率从12月的5.7%升至8月的6.2%1，15-24岁青年就业比例出现下降1。
尽管失业率攀升，澳大利亚储备银行行长米歇尔·布洛克表示，为对抗通胀可能需要失业率进一步上升至4.5%-5%1。他指出"4.5%-5%的失业率可能足以平抑劳动力市场的热度，缓解通胀压力"1。达到5%的失业率意味着约55,000名澳大利亚人失业1。金融分析师和澳大利亚四大银行预计储备银行将在下周现金利率上调0.25个百分点至4.6%，这将是2026年第四次上调1。澳大利亚股市在就业数据公布后跌幅收窄2。
澳大利亚人因房贷还款上升和生活成本增加而在寻求第二份工作2。2026年迄今就业增长约1.2%，就业人口比例维持在63.9%1，劳动力参与率从12月的66.7%升至8月的67.1%1。
Australia's unemployment rate climbed to 4.6% in August, marking the highest level since November 2021 and exceeding market expectations 12. The increase represents a 0.5 percentage point rise from December, when the rate stood at 4.1% 1. Despite this deterioration in the labor market, financial analysts and Australia's major banks anticipate the Reserve Bank will raise the cash rate by 0.25 percentage points to 4.6% next week, which would represent the fourth rate increase in 2026 1.
Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock indicated that an unemployment rate of 4.5% to 5% could be sufficient to moderate labor market heat and ease inflation pressures 1. The rise in joblessness stems primarily from an increase in labor force participation rather than job losses, with participation rising from 66.7% in December to 67.1% in August 1. Employment growth has reached approximately 1.2% year-to-date, while the employment-to-population ratio has held steady at 63.9% 1. The underemployment rate, however, has climbed from 5.7% in December to 6.2% in August 1.
Australian stocks narrowed losses following the employment figures release 2, while reports indicate residents are increasingly seeking second jobs due to rising mortgage payments and increased living costs 2.
评论
还没有评论，欢迎留下第一条。