亚洲开发银行9月23日发布《2026年亚洲发展展望》，将亚太发展中经济体2026年增长率预测上调至5.0%12，较7月预测有所提升1。尽管增速预期较2025年的5.5%有所回落12，但该地区经济仍表现出韧性1。报告维持2027年增长率预测不变，为5.1%12。
在物价方面，亚行下调了2026年通货膨胀率预测至4.2%12，2027年预测则小幅上调至3.5%12。报告指出，强劲的国内需求、政府刺激措施和科技行业支撑了经济增长2。同时，报告预警厄尔尼诺现象将对该地区增长造成拖累并加剧价格压力1。
The Asian Development Bank released its September 2026 Asian Development Outlook on September 23, slightly raising its growth forecast for developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region to 5.0 percent for 2026 1. While this represents an upward revision from its July projection, the forecast remains below the 2025 growth rate of 5.5 percent 1. The bank maintained its 2027 growth projection at 5.1 percent 2.
According to the report, despite the moderation in growth pace, the region's economy continues to demonstrate resilience 1. Strong domestic demand, government stimulus measures, and the technology sector are supporting economic expansion 2. The bank adjusted its inflation forecasts, lowering the 2026 outlook to 4.2 percent while raising the 2027 projection to 3.5 percent 2. The report cautioned that the El Niño phenomenon poses risks to growth and could intensify price pressures 1.
评论
还没有评论，欢迎留下第一条。