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美联储三年来首次加息,引发市场波动与政治分歧

美联储联邦公开市场委员会以全票通过,将基准利率上调0.25个百分点至3.75%-4%的区间12。这是自2023年7月以来的首次加息2。美联储主席凯文·沃什表示,"通货膨胀过高且持续时间过长"12,当前通胀已连续五年高于美联储2%的目标9。沃什强调美联储的独立性,拒绝就特朗普的降息要求置评1。

加息决定立即引发市场反应。股市出现下跌,其中S&P 500下跌0.9%1,道琼斯指数下跌850点1,纳斯达克下跌0.5%1。债券收益率上升,2年期美债收益率上升6个基点至4.725%1,10年期美债收益率上升1个基点至5%1。美国主要银行包括JP摩根、KeyCorp和纽约梅隆银行随之将基准贷款利率从6.75%上调至7%9。

特朗普对加息决定表示强烈反对。他呼吁美联储将利率降至1%或更低,并批评美联储的决策313。特朗普表示"为美利坚合众国降低利率,并且要快速"17。尽管沃什是特朗普提名的主席,但后者展现出政策上的独立性,违背了总统的降息诉求10。民主党参议院领袖查克·舒默则表示,加息"将使一切变得更贵"9。

美联储官员预计将进一步调整利率。多数政策制定者认为年底前基准利率将升至4%-4.25%29,部分官员预测明年可能升至4.25%-4.5%17。美联储预计通胀要到2029年才能达到2%的目标2。此次加息将提高消费者的借贷成本,包括抵押贷款、汽车贷款和信用卡利率7911,平均30年期固定抵押贷款利率为6.76%,15年期为6.09%9,但储户的储蓄收益可能增加7。


来源

  1. Guardian WorldFederal Reserve expected to announce interest rate increase – live
  2. Guardian WorldUS Federal Reserve votes to hike rates for the first time since 2023
  3. DW TopUS Fed raises key rate for first time in 3 years
  4. Google News (US)Fed expected to raise interest rates. And, board votes to close Kennedy Center - NPR
  5. Google News (US)‘Inflation is too high and has been for too long,’ says Kevin Warsh as Fed announces rate hikes – live - The Guardian
  6. Hacker NewsFed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields
  7. Google News (US)Fed rate hike likely means more expensive credit cards and mortgages, but savers may rejoice - AP News
  8. Google News (US)Live updates: Federal Reserve board raises interest rates; House announces early recess - The Hill
  9. BBC WorldUS interest rates raised for first time in three years
  10. Google News (US)Fed raises interest rates for first time since 2023, defying Trump as inflation mounts - NBC News
  11. Google News (US)Here’s what a Fed rate hike means for your mortgage, car loan and credit cards - The Washington Post
  12. Google News (US)Donald Trump fails to bend the Federal Reserve to his will - Financial Times
  13. China News外媒:美联储三年多来首次加息,特朗普强烈反对
  14. Google News (US)A stronger dollar and rising yields: How the Fed’s rate hike could hit global markets - CNBC
  15. Google News (US)Trump says he told Fed chief to ‘do what you want’ ahead of interest rate hike - washingtonpost.com
  16. Google News (US)Warsh Defies Trump’s Calls for Rate Cut as War Stokes Inflation - Bloomberg.com
  17. Hacker NewsUS interest rates raised for first time in three years

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