英国国家统计局公布的最新数据显示，2026年7月英国国内生产总值环比增长0.4%，超越经济学家此前预测的零增长1。这一增长幅度也高于6月的0.3%1，为财政大臣约翰·希利即将在10月28日举行的首次预算听证会前提供了积极信号1。
尽管全球经济面临伊朗战争引发的波动和油价突破100美元/桶的压力1，英国在2026年上半年仍录得七国集团中最强的经济增长表现1。然而，政府借贷成本已升至近20年以来的最高水平1，经济学家警告财政大臣可能被迫在即将发布的预算案中采取增税或削减支出的措施1。
The Office for National Statistics released data showing the British economy expanded by 0.4% in July 2026, defying economist expectations of zero growth.1 This figure represented an acceleration from June's 0.3% expansion.1 The stronger-than-anticipated performance arrives as Chancellor John Healey prepares for his first Budget presentation on October 28.1
The resilience comes despite turbulent global conditions, including conflict-driven economic uncertainty and oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel.1 Over the first half of 2026, Britain recorded the strongest growth among Group of Seven nations.1 However, the Chancellor faces mounting fiscal pressures, as government borrowing costs have climbed to levels not seen in nearly two decades.1 Economists have warned that Healey may be forced to raise taxes or cut spending in the upcoming Budget to manage these elevated financing costs.1
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