2026年德国遭遇创纪录热浪,造成12500人死亡,同时引发森林火灾和严重干旱[1]。农民预计损失约300万公吨谷物和油菜籽[1]。尽管面临这些严重气候灾害,政府却未采取有力应对措施,气候抗争运动已大幅衰退[1]。
曾经能够动员数十万人参与的气候示威,如今参与者锐减。柏林近期的气候示威仅吸引数百人参与,与2019年前的声势形成鲜明对比[1]。激进组织"最后一代"两年前已停止抗议活动,其成员表示受到敌意、罚款和监禁困扰[1]。"周五未来"运动的参与人数也大幅下降[1]。
公众的气候担忧与政治动员的脱节令人瞩目。民调显示80%的德国人担忧气候变化,超过50%支持增加气候保护支出[1]。但政治关注力已转向乌克兰和加沙问题[1]。总理弗里德里希·默茨近期表示"我们无法单独阻止气候变化"[1],环境部长卡斯滕·施奈德则提议修订宪法,将热保护作为联邦政府、州和市镇的共同责任[1]。德国根据2015年《巴黎协定》和《国家气候行动法》承诺在2045年前实现气候中立[1]。
Germany experienced a record-breaking heat wave in 2026 that resulted in 12,500 heat-related deaths, yet the country's climate activism has dramatically declined even as environmental damage mounts [1]. Farmers are projected to lose approximately 3 million metric tons of grain and rapeseed due to severe drought conditions accompanying the heat [1]. Despite these catastrophic impacts, once-massive climate protests have shrunk to a fraction of their former size, with recent demonstrations in Berlin drawing only hundreds of participants compared to the tens of thousands that mobilized before 2019 [1].
The disconnect between public concern and political action remains stark. While 80% of Germans express worry about climate change and more than half support increased spending on climate protection, the political focus has shifted toward other international crises [1]. The "Last Generation" activist movement ceased its protest activities two years ago, citing hostility, fines, and imprisonment as deterrents, while the "Fridays for Future" campaign has experienced a significant decline in participation [1]. Chancellor Friedrich Merz recently stated that "we cannot stop climate change alone," a position that reflects the government's apparent reluctance to pursue aggressive unilateral climate measures [1].
The German government has outlined some policy responses to the crisis. Environment Minister Carsten Schneider has proposed constitutional amendments to establish heat protection as a shared responsibility among the federal government, states, and municipalities [1]. Germany remains committed to achieving climate neutrality by 2045 under the 2015 Paris Agreement and its National Climate Action Law [1].