中国2026年上半年结婚登记降至327.5万对，创历史同期新低[1]。与此同时，离婚登记增至138.3万对[1]，其中第二季度离婚登记达76.1万对，为2021年离婚冷静期实施后的新高[1]。离结比（离婚与结婚登记的比例）从2025年同期的37.6%上升至42.2%[1]，反映出结婚意愿下滑与离婚意愿上升的双重趋势。
从长期来看，中国的婚姻登记形势面临结构性挑战。20至34岁的适婚人口从2013年的3.2亿下降至2024年的2.4亿，减少了8000万[1]。与此对应，全国结婚登记总数从2013年的高峰1346.9万对下降至2025年的676.3万对，降幅约50%[1]。2021年实施离婚冷静期后，离婚登记曾大幅下跌至214万对，但自2022年起离婚数逐年回升，2021年至2025年的离婚对数分别为214万、210万、259万、262万、274万对[1]。
China recorded 3.275 million marriage registrations in the first half of 2026, marking a historic low for the same period, while divorce registrations climbed to 1.383 million [1]. The divorce-to-marriage ratio surged from 37.6% in the first half of 2025 to 42.2% in the corresponding period of 2026 [1]. The second quarter of 2026 alone saw 761,000 divorces, the highest level since China's mandatory divorce cooling-off period took effect in 2021 [1].
The decline in marriages reflects a demographic shift that appears irreversible. The population aged 20-34, the prime marriage demographic, contracted from 320 million in 2013 to 240 million in 2024—a loss of 80 million people [1]. This shrinking pool of potential spouses compounds the trend: nationwide marriage registrations in 2025 totaled 6.763 million pairs, roughly half the 13.469 million pairs registered in 2013 at their peak [1].
Rising divorces follow years of fluctuation after the 2021 cooling-off period. That policy initially caused divorces to plummet from 4.14 million pairs to 2.14 million pairs—a 47% annual decline [1]. However, subsequent years have seen the trend gradually reverse, with divorce registrations recovering to 2.74 million pairs by 2025 [1].