伊拉克正面临严重的财政危机。在以色列和美国于2月对伊朗进行轰炸后，伊朗随即封锁了霍尔木兹海峡，导致伊拉克通过该海峡的石油出口大幅下滑[1]。3月伊拉克石油出口下降83%，到5月更是下降97%[1]，这对严重依赖石油收入的伊拉克造成了沉重打击。
由于国家预算的85%-90%来自石油出口[1]，出口急剧下降直接影响了政府的财政状况。伊拉克每月需要65亿至82亿美元用于薪资、养老金和社会福利[1]，但5月至6月期间月收入仅为20亿至23亿美元[1]，远不足以满足支出需求。这导致政府无法按时向公务员发放薪资，并引发了薪资延迟问题和小规模抗议活动[1]。
伊拉克政府声称拥有830亿美元的储备，足以支付未来10-11个月的薪资[1]，以缓解眼前的困境。与此同时，伊拉克总理阿里·阿尔-扎伊迪于7月底访问伊朗，请求允许伊拉克石油通过霍尔木兹海峡[1]。不过，英国牛津经济咨询公司预测至少到2028年，该海峡的海运交通难以恢复正常[1]，这意味着伊拉克面临的财政压力可能持续数年。
Iraq is experiencing a severe fiscal crisis stemming from a dramatic collapse in oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz. Following Israeli and American airstrikes on Iran in February, Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, causing Iraqi oil shipments through the vital waterway to plummet by 83 percent in March and 97 percent in May.[1] Since oil exports generate 85 to 90 percent of Iraq's national budget, this disruption has crippled government revenues, leaving the state unable to meet its monthly obligations of between 6.5 and 8.2 billion dollars for civil servant salaries, pensions, and social welfare programs.[1] Monthly income has shrunk to just 2 to 2.3 billion dollars in May and June.[1]
The shortfall has already triggered delays in wage payments and prompted small-scale public protests.[1] However, Iraqi officials maintain the situation remains manageable in the near term, claiming the government holds 83 billion dollars in reserves sufficient to cover the next 10 to 11 months of salary obligations.[1] The outlook beyond that window appears bleak, as Oxford Economics predicts that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will struggle to return to normal operations until at least 2028.[1] In late July, Prime Minister Ali Al-Zaidi visited Iran to request permission for Iraqi oil to transit the blocked strait.[1]