委内瑞拉和哥伦比亚相继发生强震,引发公众对南美洲是否进入新强震活跃期的担忧。中国地震应急搜救中心原总工程师曲国胜对此表示,目前还不能得出该结论[1]。曲国胜指出,南美洲本身处于高地震活跃区,近期强震需要持续跟踪,但需更长时间数据才能做出综合判断[1]。
哥伦比亚此次地震达到7.4级[1],中国地震台网测定震源深度约80公里[1],美国地质调查局(USGS)测定约107公里[1]。曲国胜估计该地震人员伤亡可能处于百人级的量级[1]。这次地震属于中源地震,与纳斯卡板块俯冲有关[1]。与此不同,委内瑞拉地震属浅源地震,两者属不同构造类型,无直接触发关系[1]。曲国胜强调,这两次地震是不同的事件,不能简单理解为前一次地震引发了后一次地震[1]。他认为,目前更适合把近期情况看作一个值得高度关注的区域强震活动信号[1]。
Recent powerful earthquakes in Venezuela and Colombia have raised questions about whether the region is entering a phase of heightened seismic activity. However, experts caution against drawing such conclusions prematurely. Qu Guosheng, former chief engineer of the China Earthquake Administration Emergency Search and Rescue Center, stated that it is not yet possible to reach this conclusion, noting that South America itself is located in a naturally high-seismic zone and that current strong earthquakes require sustained monitoring but need longer-term data for comprehensive assessment [1].
The two earthquakes differ fundamentally in their underlying geological causes and should not be regarded as directly connected. Colombia's 7.4-magnitude earthquake occurred at a depth of approximately 80 to 107 kilometers—classified as an intermediate-depth earthquake related to the subduction of the Nazca Plate beneath the South American Plate [1]. By contrast, the Venezuelan earthquake was a shallow-source event of a different tectonic nature, with no direct triggering relationship to the Colombian quake [1]. Qu estimated that casualties from the Colombian earthquake could potentially reach the hundreds [1]. For now, the recent seismic activity in the region is best understood as a noteworthy signal of regional strong earthquake activity warranting close attention [1].