澳大利亚大型企业气候规划与全球目标脱节

澳大利亚最大的能源和资源公司在强制性企业气候报告中披露的战略规划显示，其预期全球升温将超过2°C1。力拓和必和必拓等公司在报告中假设全球温度上升超过2°C1，而AGL和Origin Energy则表示其业务战略即使在全球升温超过2.6°C时仍具备韧性1。这些企业的气候规划与巴黎协议1.5°C目标以及国际法院在2025年7月确认的各国目标温度限值不符1。

澳大利亚去年引入强制性企业气候报告制度1，在此框架下揭露了这一问题。根据科学最佳估计，全球升温不能超过1.5°C超过0.1-0.3°C，峰值为1.6-1.8°C1。澳大利亚大企业贡献本土排放量的30%以上1，若计入其生产的化石燃料排放，其贡献占全球化石碳排放约4.5%，仅次于俄罗斯1。澳大利亚2025年9月提交的减排计划目标为相比2005年基础降低62-70%1，与企业规划的升温幅度假设形成对比。

作为COP31谈判主席国1，澳大利亚面临在监管这些企业排放以达成国际气候承诺方面的挑战。企业战略与最新科学认知和国际法律义务的脱节，凸显了澳大利亚在气候治理中的紧张局面。

Australia's largest energy and resources companies are disclosing climate strategies in mandatory corporate climate reports that assume global warming will exceed 2°C, falling short of the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C goal 1. The companies, including Rio Tinto, BHP, AGL, and Origin Energy, have revealed business plans based on climate scenarios misaligned with the latest scientific understanding and international legal commitments 1.

Rio Tinto and BHP anticipate global temperature increases surpassing 2°C, while AGL and Origin Energy have indicated their strategies remain resilient even if temperatures rise above 2.6°C 1. These major Australian firms account for more than 30% of domestic emissions, and when including the fossil fuels they produce, their carbon footprint represents approximately 4.5% of global fossil emissions, second only to Russia 1. Australia introduced mandatory corporate climate reporting requirements in the previous year and submitted a reduction plan in September 2025 targeting emissions cuts of 62–70% from 2005 levels 1. The International Court of Justice confirmed in July 2025 that 1.5°C represents the target temperature limit for nations, while scientific best estimates indicate global warming cannot exceed 1.5°C by more than 0.1–0.3°C, with peak temperatures reaching 1.6–1.8°C 1. As chair of COP31 negotiations, Australia faces the challenge of regulating corporate emissions to meet its climate commitments 1.