中共中央党校下属媒体《学习时报》于3日发表评论文章,在乌克兰、伊朗战争久拖不决的背景下,提出了"慢性战争"的战争形态分析[1]。文章指出这种战争具有长期化、低强度、持续消耗、难以终结的特征[1]。
文章从时间、空间、手段、主体、结局五个维度进行了分析[1]。其中,时间维度表现为"慢性化",空间维度为"泛在化",手段维度为"混合化",主体维度为"多元化",结局维度为"非对称"[1]。这种战争采取低烈度、高频率、可逆性与不可逆性交织的复合打击模式[1]。
文章指出,认知与网络空间已成为"慢性战争"的第二战场,双方在网络空间展开持续的叙事争夺[1]。与传统战争不同,"慢性战争"鲜少以明确的"胜利"告终,更多是以"疲惫的妥协"或"暂时的停火"收场,演变为多方参与、没有明确胜利者的对抗形式[1]。
China's Communist Party Central School affiliated publication, the Study Times, published a commentary article on March 3rd analyzing a new concept of warfare in the context of prolonged conflicts in Ukraine and Iran [1]. The article presents the "chronic warfare" framework, characterized by extended duration, low intensity, sustained attrition, and difficulty in achieving resolution [1].
The publication identifies five key dimensions defining this warfare paradigm [1]. Temporally, conflicts exhibit "chronicity"; spatially, they become "ubiquitous"; in terms of methods, "hybrid" approaches dominate; regarding participants, "multiple actors" engage; and concerning outcomes, results remain "asymmetrical" [1]. This form of warfare abandons the pursuit of swift decisive victory, instead evolving into multi-party confrontation without clearly defined victors [1]. The strategy employs low-intensity, high-frequency strikes combining both reversible and irreversible elements [1].
The commentary further emphasizes that cognitive and cyber domains have emerged as secondary battlefields, with sustained narrative competition occurring in cyberspace [1]. Unlike traditional conflicts, "chronic warfare" rarely concludes with definitive victory; instead, it typically ends through "exhausted compromise" or "temporary ceasefire" [1].