澳大利亚气象局发布的9月至11月长期预报显示,该国大部分地区春季气温将高于平均水平,夜间气温同样高于平均水平1。降雨分布呈现明显区域差异,南部和东部地区包括维多利亚州、新南威尔士州和澳大利亚首都领地的降雨量预计低于平均水平,而西部大部分地区的降雨量则可能高于平均水平1。
随着厄尔尼诺现象预期成为有史以来最强的之一,澳大利亚多个地区面临气象风险1。气象局资深气象学家David Crock指出:"更温暖的预报增加了早期热浪的风险,特别是在澳大利亚南部"1。部分维多利亚州、新南威尔士州和西澳大利亚州的林火风险预计将增加1。另外,澳大利亚雪季(6月至10月)预计将是历史最差之一1。
The Bureau of Meteorology has released its long-range forecast for September through November, predicting above-average temperatures and nighttime temperatures across most of Australia during spring 1. Rainfall patterns are expected to be uneven, with southern and eastern regions experiencing below-average precipitation while western areas anticipate above-average rainfall 1.
The forecast reflects an intensifying El Niño phenomenon, which is anticipated to be among the strongest on record 1. This weather pattern is expected to elevate risks of early heat waves, particularly in southern Australia, according to senior meteorologist David Crock, who stated: "the warmer forecast increases the risk of early heat waves, especially across southern Australia" 1.
Specific regions face heightened weather challenges ahead. Victoria, New South Wales, and the Australian Capital Territory are likely to experience below-average spring rainfall 1, while parts of Victoria, New South Wales, and Western Australia face increased bushfire risk 1. Australia's snow season from June to October is predicted to be among the worst in history 1.
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