西澳州Secret Harbour选区将于周六举行州议会补选,由于资深议员保罗·帕帕利亚任期中退休而触发1。尽管工党在2025年州选中赢得46个席位中的59个1,但该选区的工党传统优势正面临挑战。西澳州总理罗杰·库克表示这是"一场艰苦的战争"1。
一国党的支持率自6月以来上升了3个百分点,目前与自由党并列达到21%1,而工党的主要投票率保持在33%1。工党在Secret Harbour原本拥有11.5%的领先优势1。此外,一国党也在针对联邦自由党议员安德鲁·哈斯蒂,其边际席位Canning包含Secret Harbour,哈斯蒂去年以6.5%的幅度保留了该席位1。
Western Australia will hold a by-election for the Secret Harbour electorate on Saturday, triggered by the retirement of senior Labor MP Paul Papalia during his term in office 1. The contest represents a significant test for the ruling Labor government, which secured 59 of 46 seats in the 2025 state election—its third consecutive landslide victory 1.
One Nation has emerged as a serious challenger to Labor's traditionally safe seat, with the party's support rising three percentage points since June to reach 21 percent, matching the Liberal Party 1. Western Australia Premier Roger Cook acknowledged the difficulty ahead, characterizing the by-election as "a tough fight" 1. Despite One Nation's momentum, Labor maintains its primary vote at 33 percent and holds an 11.5 percent margin in Secret Harbour 1.
The by-election also carries federal implications, as One Nation is simultaneously targeting federal Liberal MP Andrew Hastie, whose marginal seat of Canning encompasses Secret Harbour; Hastie retained the seat last year by a margin of 6.5 percent 1.
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