澳大利亚与美国签署的ANZUS条约今年迎来75周年纪念1。美国研究中心最新民调显示，尽管澳大利亚人对现状的信心在下降，但维系这一同盟的支持仍占多数。仅有15%的澳大利亚人主张退出美澳同盟，相比三年前的37%大幅下滑1。
不过，澳大利亚人对美国在关键时刻的可靠性信心明显动摇。2023年有55%的澳大利亚人认为美国很可能在澳大利亚受中国攻击时提供援助，这一数字到2026年下跌至仅29%1。在评估美国领导力方面，仅有16%的澳大利亚人认为特朗普第二任期对澳大利亚有利1。民调还显示，2022年三分之二的澳大利亚人认为美澳同盟增强了澳大利亚安全，到2026年这一比例跌至不足一半，下降21个百分点1。
澳大利亚人对美国在亚洲影响力的评估也在转变。2024年澳大利亚人仍普遍认为美国比中国在亚洲更有帮助，但到2026年两者被视为同样有帮助1。面对这些不确定性，四分之三的澳大利亚人同意加强与其他中等强国的安全关系1。
The Australia-United States alliance marked its 75th anniversary following the 1951 signing of the ANZUS treaty 1. Despite mounting concerns about the Trump administration's impact on bilateral relations, support for the partnership remains surprisingly resilient, according to polling data from the US Studies Center 1.
Only 15 percent of Australians believe their country should withdraw from the US alliance, a dramatic decline from 37 percent three years earlier 1. More than half of Australians surveyed contend that the alliance is now more necessary than ever 1. However, confidence in American security commitments has eroded significantly: whereas 55 percent of Australians believed in 2023 that the United States would likely provide assistance if China attacked Australia, this figure has dropped to just 29 percent 1. Additionally, only 16 percent of Australians view Trump's second term favorably for their country 1.
Perceptions of American regional influence are also shifting. In 2024, more Australians considered the United States more helpful than China in Asia, yet by 2026 both powers are viewed as equally beneficial 1. Confidence in the alliance's contribution to Australian security has weakened substantially, falling from two-thirds of Australians in 2022 to less than half by 2026—a decline of 21 percentage points 1. Despite these reservations, three-quarters of Australians support strengthening security relationships with other middle powers 1.
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