德国萨克森-安哈尔特州将于9月6日举行州议会选举1，被联邦宪法保护机构认定为"确认极右翼"的德国选择党(AfD)在民调中遥遥领先1。AfD的支持率超过40%1，远高于传统执政党基督教民主联盟(CDU)的23%-26%1。如果最终获胜，将首次使极右翼政党候选人有机会成为德国战后历史上的州政府首脑1。左翼党支持率为13%，社民党则为6%-7%1。
这一局面与该州的结构性特征密切相关。萨克森-安哈尔特州人口约2.1百万，是德国人口较少的州之一1。该州面临人口老龄化问题，平均年龄达48.3岁，是德国人口最老的州1。18至29岁男性约120,240人，女性约103,177人，存在性别失衡1。在移民方面，截至2025年末，外国籍居民约占该州人口的9%，低于全国平均的15%1，但2015年以来无德国国籍人口却翻了一番1。专家将该州高失业率、人口老龄化和对移民的反感视为AfD支持率高企的主要原因1。前州总理莱纳·哈泽洛夫表示，他感到"像处于魏玛共和国国会或柏林运动宫的最后阶段"1。CDU将由政治家施文·舒尔茨代表参加竞争1。
The Alternative for Germany (AfD), classified as "confirmed far-right" by Germany's constitutional protection agency, is dominating polling for Saxony-Anhalt's state parliament election scheduled for September 6, commanding support levels exceeding 40 percent 1. This commanding lead far outpaces the traditional ruling Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which polls at 23 to 26 percent 1. Should the AfD prevail, the state would see an extreme-right candidate potentially become a state government head for the first time in postwar German history 1.
The party's surge in the eastern state reflects deeper demographic and economic challenges. Saxony-Anhalt, home to approximately 2.1 million residents, grapples with structural vulnerabilities that have fueled far-right support 1. The state has Germany's oldest population, with an average age of 48.3 years as of 2024 1, while simultaneously experiencing significant gender imbalance among young adults, with roughly 120,240 males aged 18 to 29 compared to 103,177 females 1. Foreign residents comprise 9 percent of the population compared to the national average of 15 percent, while the noncitizen population has doubled since 2015 1. These demographic pressures, combined with the state's economic difficulties, have created fertile ground for the AfD's anti-immigration messaging 1. Former state Premier Reiner Haseloff has expressed alarm at the political moment, stating he feels "like in the final phase of the Weimar Republic parliament or Berlin's Palace of the Republic" 1. The Left Party holds 13 percent support and the Social Democrats 6 to 7 percent in current polls 1, with CDU politician Sven Schulze representing his party in the race 1.
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