伊朗与阿曼正就霍尔木兹海峡航运安排进行谈判,伊朗外交部发言人巴格海伊表示相关协议正处于最后审查阶段[1]。根据伊朗副外长卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪的描述,拟议的航运安排可能维持2至4个月[1],期间海峡将临时开放。伊朗计划对过往船舶征收安全通行费[1],同时要求美国解除对伊朗港口的封锁[1]。
然而,分析人士对该协议的可行性提出了严重疑虑。分析人士巴巴克·多贝基指出,"伊朗希望控制进入海峡的船舶,而美国希望完全自由通行,这些立场难以调和"[1]。美国对伊朗的制裁和相关保险限制也构成了实际障碍[1]。此外,安全分析师舒克里亚·布拉多斯特指出,该暂停措施可能使美国比伊朗受益更多[1]。
Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Baghaiee stated that negotiations with Oman over a new shipping arrangement for the Strait of Hormuz are entering their final review and drafting phase [1]. According to Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi, the proposed arrangement would temporarily open the strait for two to four months, during which Iran would charge a security transit fee for passing vessels [1].
A critical condition for Iran's participation is the lifting of U.S. sanctions on Iranian ports, which Tehran views as prerequisite to any strait reopening [1]. However, analysts highlight fundamental obstacles to the deal's viability. According to political analyst Babak Dobbelaere, "Iran hopes to control which ships enter the strait, while the United States seeks completely free passage—positions that are difficult to reconcile" [1]. Security analyst Shukria Bradost further cautioned that a pause in shipping could ultimately benefit the United States more than Iran [1].