德国最新民调数据表明，极右翼政党AfD的支持率达到28%，较上月上升1个百分点，创月度民调新高 [1]。根据8月3-5日由ARD电视台和infratest-dimap民调机构实施的调查，样本量为1300名合格选民 [1]。
在地区层面，AfD在东部州的表现尤为突出 [1]。萨克森-安哈尔特州的民调支持率达到41% [1]。东德地区38%的选民倾向于将AfD视为普通政党，这一比例远高于西德地区 [1]。
民众对与AfD合作的态度出现分化 [1]。仅37%的受访者坚决反对与该党合作，而32%的受访者主张具体问题具体分析 [1]。70%的AfD支持者感到被边缘化，相比之下全体受访者中这一比例为43% [1]。此外，仅12%的受访者认为默茨内阁改组会改善政策 [1]，70%的民众将伊斯兰极端主义视为最大威胁 [1]。
Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has strengthened its position as the country's most popular political force, according to a new survey. The party's support reached 28 percent, marking a one-percentage-point increase from the previous month and a fresh monthly high, based on a poll of 1,300 eligible voters conducted between August 3 and 5 by the ARD television station and infratest-dimap polling institute [1]. This advancement has pushed the AfD ahead of Chancellor Friedrich Merz's center-right CDU/CSU alliance in public backing.
Regional dynamics show particularly striking momentum for the AfD in eastern Germany, where the party is poised to make substantial gains in upcoming state elections scheduled for September [1]. In Saxony-Anhalt, the party commands 41 percent support in polling, positioning itself to potentially govern independently in that state [1]. The survey further reveals a stark geographic divide in attitudes toward the AfD: 38 percent of voters in the former East Germany view the party as a legitimate political actor, a figure substantially higher than in the western regions [1]. Among AfD supporters themselves, 70 percent report feeling marginalized, compared to 43 percent across the entire surveyed population [1].
Public opinion on cooperating with the AfD remains fractured. While only 37 percent of respondents firmly oppose any collaboration with the party, 32 percent advocate for a case-by-case approach to working with the AfD [1]. Additionally, just 12 percent believe that recent cabinet reshuffles under Merz's leadership will produce meaningful policy improvements [1]. Security concerns dominate the political landscape, with 70 percent of respondents identifying Islamic extremism as the greatest threat facing the nation [1].