澳大利亚One Nation党近期因移民政策表述混乱引发争议,党内高层对“净移民上限13万”的具体含义说法不一 1。该党官网政策承诺将签证上限设为每年13万,但关于这是否为净海外移民上限、是否包含太平洋劳工计划(Palm)工人等关键问题,党内存在多种矛盾表态 1。
Barnaby Joyce称13万为净海外移民上限 1。David Farley则表示13万净海外移民不包含额外的10万技术工人、背包客以及太平洋和东帝汶劳工 1。Malcolm Roberts在采访中同时支持“净负移民”和13万净移民上限,他称每年约22万人离开澳大利亚,若允许13万人净进入,则净移民为负9万 1。党魁Pauline Hanson确认13万净海外移民目标不包含太平洋劳工计划(Palm)工人,并指出这些工人由农业部门提供住宿,不占用住房资源 1。
若13万为净海外移民目标且每年约20万人离境,则意味着每年将有33万人入境 1;若13万为签证硬上限,则可能导致负移民 1。分析认为,这种政策上的模糊性可能是该党吸引极端支持者的政治策略 1。
The One Nation party's immigration policy has sparked controversy due to conflicting statements from senior figures regarding its immigration caps and targets 1. The party's official website promises a visa cap of 130,000 per year, but interpretations of this figure vary widely among its members 1. For instance, Barnaby Joyce described the 130,000 figure as a net overseas migration (NOM) cap 1. Meanwhile, David Farley stated that this 130,000 NOM target does not include an additional 100,000 skilled workers, backpackers, and Pacific and Timor-Leste laborers 1.
Party leader Pauline Hanson confirmed that the 130,000 NOM target excludes Pacific Australia Labour Mobility (PALM) scheme workers, arguing that these workers are housed by the agricultural sector and do not consume housing resources 1. In an interview, Malcolm Roberts expressed support for both "net negative migration" and the 130,000 net migration cap 1. Roberts calculated that with approximately 220,000 people leaving Australia annually, allowing 130,000 net arrivals would result in a net migration of negative 90,000 1. The mathematical implications of these statements are stark: if 130,000 is a NOM target and about 200,000 people leave each year, it would mean 330,000 arrivals annually, whereas if it is a hard visa cap, it could lead to negative migration 1. Analysts suggest that this policy ambiguity might actually serve as a secret political weapon for the party to attract extreme supporters 1.
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