美伊战争持续六个月后,美国战略目标发生转变,重新开放霍尔木兹海峡成为首要目标 1。特朗普政府已从军事打击转向经济施压,但战争仍无明确结束迹象 1。特朗普于2月下旬发动对伊朗战争,最初预计持续四到五周,而6月份签署的旨在结束战争的谅解备忘录已被搁置 1。
霍尔木兹海峡承载全球约20%的石油运输,战争开始后基本关闭 1。特朗普8月中旬威胁称,如果阿曼阻碍美国与伊朗关于霍尔木兹海峡的协议,美国将轰炸阿曼 1。
美国在削弱伊朗军事能力方面取得战术成功,但核问题、导弹能力、代理人武装等多个初始目标仍未完全实现 1。特朗普周三称伊朗海军和空军已完全消失 1。特朗普3月下旬称伊朗90%的导弹和发射器被摧毁,5月中旬修正为82% 1。国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥6月初告诉国会议员,伊朗国防工业基础遭受80%至90%的损耗 1。特朗普5月29日在社交媒体发帖称,约970磅(440公斤)浓缩铀将由美国与伊朗及国际原子能机构协调取回并销毁 1。
以色列与黎巴嫩政府宣布协议,以色列军队撤出黎巴嫩南部以换取真主党解除武装,但真主党拒绝直接谈判且其领导人表示不会解除武装 1。
Six months into the war with Iran, the United States has shifted its strategic objectives, making the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz its primary concern 1. The Trump administration has transitioned from military strikes to economic pressure, although the conflict shows no clear signs of ending 1. The strait, which handles approximately 20% of global oil shipments, has been largely closed since the war began 1.
President Trump launched the conflict in late February, initially expecting it to last only four to five weeks 1. While the U.S. has achieved tactical success in degrading Iran's military capabilities, several initial goals regarding nuclear issues, missile capabilities, and proxy militias remain unfulfilled 1. Trump stated on Wednesday that the Iranian navy and air force have completely disappeared 1. Earlier, in late March, he claimed that 90% of Iran's missiles and launchers were destroyed, a figure he later revised to 82% in mid-May 1. Furthermore, Secretary of State Marco Rubio informed lawmakers in early June that Iran's defense industrial base had suffered 80% to 90% attrition 1. On the nuclear front, Trump posted on social media on May 29 that approximately 970 pounds (440 kilograms) of enriched uranium would be retrieved and destroyed by the U.S. in coordination with Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency 1.
A memorandum of understanding signed in June aimed at ending the war has been shelved 1. Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, Trump threatened in mid-August to bomb Oman if it hinders a U.S.-Iran agreement concerning the waterway 1. The Israeli and Lebanese governments announced an agreement for Israeli troops to withdraw from southern Lebanon in exchange for Hezbollah's disarmament 1. However, Hezbollah has refused to engage in direct negotiations, and its leader has stated that the group will not disarm 1.
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