针对社交媒体上关于加拿大可能在贸易战中切断对美电力供应并导致美国大面积停电的传言,事实核查指出该说法具有误导性 1。安大略省省长道格·福特周一在接受美联社采访时表示,若争端恶化“一切皆有可能”,包括切断该省电力 1。不过,加拿大周二对美实施的约200亿美元报复性关税并未涉及限制电力出口 1。
数据显示,2025年加拿大向美国出口电力价值33亿美元,出口量为32.7太瓦时;同时从美国进口价值14亿美元、电量为22.1太瓦时的电力 1。相比之下,2025年美国总发电量达4430太瓦时,拥有充足的其他电力来源 1。事实核查指出,停电不会立即发生,影响更可能体现为电价上涨等经济影响 1。塔夫茨大学能源政策教授Barbara Kates-Garnick表示,影响将体现在市场和价格上,但不会缺电 1。Gravity公司CEO Saleh ElHattab称,加拿大只是供应商,不控制美国家庭能源的实际可用性 1。凯斯西储大学大湖能源研究所临时主任Jonathan Steirer表示,高用电客户可能收到削减指令,若管理得当,客户会在断电前收到通知 1。
Social media rumors have suggested that Canada could cut off electricity supplies to the United States during a trade war, causing widespread blackouts, but fact-checks indicate this claim is misleading 1. While Canada can supply power to certain U.S. states, the U.S. has ample alternative power sources, meaning immediate blackouts are unlikely and the impact would more likely manifest as economic effects such as rising electricity prices 1.
Ontario Premier Doug Ford stated in a Monday interview with the Associated Press that if the dispute escalates, "anything is possible," including cutting off the province's power 1. However, Canada implemented approximately $20 billion in retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on Tuesday, and these measures did not involve restricting electricity exports 1.
In 2025, Canada exported $3.3 billion worth of electricity to the U.S. and imported $1.4 billion 1. In terms of volume, Canada's electricity exports to the U.S. amounted to 32.7 terawatt-hours, while imports were 22.1 terawatt-hours, compared to the total U.S. electricity generation of 4,430 terawatt-hours in 2025 1. Barbara Kates-Garnick, an energy policy professor at Tufts University, noted that the impact would be reflected in the market and prices, but there would be no power shortages 1. Saleh ElHattab, CEO of Gravity, emphasized that Canada is merely a supplier and does not control the actual availability of energy for American households 1. Furthermore, Jonathan Steirer, interim director of the Great Lakes Energy Institute at Case Western Reserve University, stated that high-power customers might receive curtailment directives, and if managed properly, customers would be notified before any power outage occurs 1.
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