比尔·盖茨发表了一篇近6000字的长文,标题为《动荡的人工智能时代已经到来。我们现在做出的选择至关重要》12。曾是坚定人工智能乐观派的盖茨如今转为深度悲观,试图重新在全球人工智能议题中发挥核心影响力2。他警告称,各国政府尚未准备好应对人工智能带来的广泛冲击,并直言“我们尚未为此做好准备”12。盖茨指出,人工智能将影响国家安全、就业、教育、税收、能源、选举、公共卫生以及金融系统等多个领域1。他警告“许多工作将永远消失”1。
为防止人工智能完全取代某些领域的工作,盖茨在文中提出了“人类保留”的概念,建议类比自然保护区来保护某些仅由人类从事的工作1。他呼吁建立国内外的人工智能治理框架,强调当下做出的选择至关重要12。在国际合作层面,盖茨表示“中美之间需要某种合作”1。其团队目前正在安排于11月与中国国家主席习近平会面,讨论全球人工智能风险缓解的相关努力1。此外,盖茨还引用初步调查称,更重度使用人工智能与批判性思维下降相关,且对年轻人影响更强1。
Bill Gates has published a nearly 6,000-word essay 2 titled "The turbulent AI era is here. The choices we make are critical" 1. Once a staunch optimist regarding artificial intelligence, Gates now expresses deep pessimism about its future and warns that the world is not adequately preparing for the technology's profound impacts 2. He explicitly states, "we are not preparing for it," as he attempts to reassert his core influence in the global AI discourse 2.
To prevent AI from completely replacing human labor in certain fields, Gates proposes the concept of "human reserved" jobs, drawing an analogy to nature reserves to protect roles exclusively for humans 1. He warns that "many jobs will disappear forever" and cautions that AI will significantly affect national security, employment, education, taxation, energy, elections, public health, and financial systems 1. Consequently, he advocates for the establishment of both domestic and international AI governance frameworks, noting that governments are currently unprepared for the widespread consequences of the technology 1.
Addressing international relations, Gates asserts that "some co-operation between the US and China will be required" to manage the risks associated with AI 1. To this end, his team is arranging a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in November to discuss global AI risk mitigation efforts 1. Furthermore, Gates highlights cognitive concerns, citing preliminary surveys that link heavier AI usage to a decline in critical thinking, an effect that is reportedly stronger among young people 1.
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