世界粮食计划署发布预警指出，快速发展的厄尔尼诺天气系统可能在明年年底前将约5000万人推入急性饥饿状态[1]。这一影响将导致全球急性粮食不安全人口增加超过五分之一[1]。
中南美洲、加勒比海地区和南部非洲是受影响最严重的地区[1]。今年的厄尔尼诺被确认为至少70年来最强的天气事件，部分人称其为"超级厄尔尼诺"[1]。为应对这场危机，世界粮食计划署计划投入至少8000万美元用于预警和预期性救援工作[1]。根据历史数据，2015至2016年的厄尔尼诺事件曾影响了6000万至1亿人[1]。其中南非地区的最严重影响预计将在2027至2028年淡季出现[1]。
The rapidly intensifying El Niño weather system threatens to plunge approximately 50 million additional people into acute hunger before the end of next year, according to forecasts from the World Food Programme [1]. This surge would represent an increase of more than one-fifth in the global population facing acute food insecurity across 45 countries [1].
The regions most severely affected will be Central and South America, the Caribbean, and Southern Africa [1]. This year's El Niño is the strongest recorded in at least 70 years, with some describing it as a "super El Niño" [1]. The WFP has pledged to invest at least $80 million, equivalent to £60 million, in early warning systems and anticipatory relief operations to mitigate the crisis [1]. Historical precedent underscores the scale of the potential impact: the 2015-16 El Niño event affected between 60 million and 100 million people [1]. In Southern Africa specifically, the most severe effects are projected to occur during the 2027-2028 lean season [1].