标普全球评级发布报告警告,欧洲持续热浪将推高与热相关死亡和健康恶化相关的理赔,冲击寿险、健康险及再保险公司的盈利,并可能最终导致客户保费上涨。1 标普表示,目前热浪尚未影响公司评级,但中长期可能改变。1
报告指出,欧洲人口老龄化加剧了热浪对老年群体的冲击。1 2004至2024年,欧盟65岁及以上人口占比从16.4%升至21.6%,80岁及以上人口占比从3.8%升至6.1%。1 6月22日至28日热浪期间记录的10650例超额死亡中,约9000例为65岁及以上人群。1 此外,英国5月四天热浪和6月八天热浪共造成2877例超额死亡,高于2025年夏季的1504例。1 本月,欧洲多国气温突破40摄氏度,斯洛伐克、奥地利和匈牙利创下纪录。1
S&P Global Ratings has warned that persistent heatwaves across Europe are driving up claims related to heat-associated deaths and deteriorating health, threatening the profitability of life, health, and reinsurance companies and potentially leading to higher premiums for customers 1. Temperatures have surpassed 40 degrees Celsius in multiple European countries this month, setting new records in Slovakia, Austria, and Hungary 1.
Europe's aging population has exacerbated the impact of heatwaves on the elderly 1. Between 2004 and 2024, the proportion of the European Union's population aged 65 and older increased from 16.4% to 21.6%, while the share of those aged 80 and above rose from 3.8% to 6.1% 1. During the heatwave from June 22 to June 28, approximately 9,000 of the 10,650 recorded excess deaths were among individuals aged 65 and older 1. In the United Kingdom, a four-day heatwave in May and an eight-day heatwave in June resulted in a combined 2,877 excess deaths, surpassing the 1,504 excess deaths recorded during the summer of 2025 1.
S&P noted that the current heatwaves have not yet affected the credit ratings of these companies 1. However, the rating agency cautioned that these ratings could change in the medium to long term 1.
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