学者陈光炎分析指出，中国决策层的战略优先事项发生了根本性转变。[1]短期经济成长"最大化"已不再是当局的首要任务，而是转向维持长远国家实力。[1]陈光炎表示，理解这一思维转变能够解释中国为何克制推出宏观刺激措施。[1]
中国的经济政策职能也随之发生重大调整。[1]经济政策不再单纯用于调控景气循环，而成为"大战略的执行工具"。[1]在这一新框架下，综合国力被确立为优化目标，其覆盖范围包括科技实力、产业竞争力、军事力量、金融韧性、供应链安全、科研创新、粮食与能源安全，以及地缘政治影响力。[1]
这一战略转变的思想基础源于习近平提出的理念。[1]习近平多次强调"安全是发展的前提，发展是安全的保障"，这一理念在政策制订中发挥了指导作用。[1]中国决策层认为，全球化已迈入新阶段，其特征包括科技脱钩、出口管制、金融制裁、供应链竞争，以及不断升温的地缘对抗。[1]
Scholar Chen Guangyan has analyzed a fundamental shift in China's policy priorities, arguing that decision-makers have moved away from maximizing short-term economic growth toward maintaining enduring national power.[1] According to Chen's assessment, this strategic reorientation explains why Chinese authorities have exercised restraint in deploying macroeconomic stimulus measures.[1]
China's economic policy has undergone a conceptual transformation, no longer serving primarily as a tool for business cycle management but rather functioning as an instrument of grand strategy.[1] The optimization target now encompasses comprehensive national strength across multiple domains, including technological capability, industrial competitiveness, military power, financial resilience, supply chain security, scientific innovation, food and energy security, and geopolitical influence.[1] This policy shift reflects the guidance of Xi Jinping's principle that "security is the prerequisite for development, and development is the guarantee for security," which Xi has reiterated on multiple occasions.[1]
Chen attributes this recalibration to China's assessment that globalization has entered a new phase characterized by technological decoupling, export controls, financial sanctions, supply chain competition, and escalating geopolitical confrontation.[1]