特朗普政府上周宣布了包含15个要点的新加沙和平计划,目标是结束战斗并缓解人道主义危机[1]。该计划的主要突破在于哈马斯同意向加沙国家管理委员会(NCAG)移交权力并上交武器,打破了多年僵局[1]。哈马斯在7月份已就此做出承诺[1]。
然而,以色列对该计划表示反对,称其"不反映以色列立场"[1]。以色列极右派部长伊塔马尔·本-格维尔将其称为"不可接受"[1]。以色列坚持要求哈马斯必须完全解除武装后才能撤军,这一立场可能成为计划推进的障碍[1]。美国官员随即表示,如果以色列不同意该计划,特朗普将"非常失望"[1]。美国与以色列的关系可能被用作推进协议的杠杆,但目前尚未采取实质性措施[1]。
以色列将在10月举行选举,总理内塔尼亚胡面临激烈竞争[1]。2023年10月7日,哈马斯对以色列发起攻击造成1000多人死亡,随后以色列军队在加沙造成超过73000人死亡[1]。
The Trump administration announced a new 15-point Gaza peace plan last week aimed at ending hostilities and alleviating the humanitarian crisis in the territory [1]. The proposal marks a significant diplomatic shift, with Hamas agreeing to disarm and transfer power to an independent technocratic body known as the National Committee for Gaza Administration (NCAG), breaking years of deadlock [1].
However, Israel has expressed substantial reservations about the framework. Israeli officials stated the plan "does not reflect Israel's position," with far-right minister Itamar Ben-Gvir calling it "unacceptable" [1]. Israel has insisted that Hamas must be completely disarmed before any Israeli military withdrawal, a condition that threatens to derail the proposal [1]. U.S. officials have warned they would be "very disappointed" if Israel does not agree to the terms, raising the possibility that American-Israeli relations could be leveraged as diplomatic pressure [1]. To date, however, no substantive measures have been taken in this direction [1].
The tensions over the peace plan occur against a backdrop of the escalating regional toll. The conflict originated with Hamas's October 7, 2023 attack on Israel, which resulted in over 1,000 deaths [1], while Israeli military operations in Gaza have caused more than 73,000 deaths [1]. Netanyahu faces additional pressure as Israel prepares for elections in October, where he confronts intense political competition [1].