特朗普在2024年美国总统选举中再次当选，其政治影响力的持续扩张反映了美国选民对现状的深刻不满。1 特朗普在美国3112个县中的89%获得比2020年更多的选票，整体得票数增加280万张，而民主党候选人哈里斯的得票数较2020年的拜登减少680万张。1 这一结果表明，特朗普的政治基础正在扩大，而民主党的投票率则大幅下滑。
美国选民转向特朗普的背后，是长期积累的经济和社会危机。1 自2000年以来，美国中位数收入的增长几乎停滞——2000年至2018年间仅增长0.3%，远低于1970年至2000年的年均1.2%增速。1 贫富分化加剧，1989年至2022年间，美国前1%的家庭财富增长速度至少是中位数家庭的101倍，是底层20%家庭的987倍。1 对中产阶级身份的认同感也在消退，过去十年内，自称中产阶级的美国人比例从85%下跌至54%。1
政府信任度的崩塌进一步推动了这种转变。1 据皮尤研究中心数据，相信政府能做正确事情的美国人比例从1960年代初的75%跌至当今的17%。1 在此背景下，特朗普所代表的革命性变革承诺吸引了广泛支持，而美国政治制度对其的制约能力有限。1 即使在其上一任期内，特朗普的批准率也接近40%，与同期拜登的批准率相当，表明其政治基础的韧性。1
Donald Trump won reelection in 2024 by expanding his support across the country, gaining 2.8 million additional votes compared to 2020, while Democratic turnout declined significantly 1. Trump improved his performance in 89% of America's 3,112 counties relative to his 2020 results, whereas Harris received 6.8 million fewer votes than Biden did four years earlier 1. This electoral outcome reflects deeper structural challenges facing the American electorate, driven by economic stagnation and eroding faith in government institutions.
The underlying causes of Trump's political dominance reveal a nation grappling with persistent inequality and diminishing middle-class confidence. Median household income growth in the United States slowed dramatically, averaging 1.2% annually between 1970 and 2000, but declined to just 0.3% annually from 2000 to 2018 1. Wealth concentration has accelerated sharply: between 1989 and 2022, the wealth of the top 1% of families grew at a rate at least 101 times faster than median family wealth and 987 times faster than the wealth of the bottom 20% 1. The proportion of Americans identifying as middle class has collapsed from 85% a decade ago to 54% today 1. Public trust in government has similarly deteriorated, with the share of Americans believing government does the right thing falling from approximately 75% in the early 1960s to just 17% today 1. These conditions have created fertile ground for political disruption and demand for transformative change among voters seeking relief from economic pressures and institutional dysfunction.
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