极端高温、干旱和野火正在威胁欧洲农业生产。[1]西班牙谷物产量预计从2400万吨下跌至1850万吨，[1]欧盟同时下调了多种作物的产量预期，包括向日葵下调7%、粗粮玉米下调6%、马铃薯和大豆各下调3%。[1]受作物减产影响，多种食品价格已经或将要上涨。英国商店特级初榨橄榄油平均价格仍超过7英镑每升，近月开始上升。[1]业内人士表示，除非天气很快得到控制，否则秋季价格应该会上升，因为用来制造橄榄油的可食用果实会减少。[1]
葡萄酒和谷物生产同样面临挑战。[1]法国香槟产区预计8月中旬左右开始采摘，较数十年前提前约一个月，[1]法国葡萄产量预计比去年减少约10%。[1]在谷物方面，今年玉米收获预计将达820万吨，而2025年官方估计为775万吨。[1]
European agriculture faces significant production losses due to extreme temperatures, drought, and wildfires, with widespread implications for food prices across the continent. Spain's grain harvest is projected to plummet from 24 million tonnes to 18.5 million tonnes in the 2026-27 season [1]. The European Union has downwardly revised forecasts for multiple staple crops, reducing sunflower expectations by 7 percent, coarse grain maize by 6 percent, and potatoes and soybeans by 3 percent each [1].
Olive oil prices, already elevated, are positioned to climb further in the coming months. Premium extra virgin olive oil currently exceeds £7 per litre in British retail stores, with prices beginning to rise in recent weeks [1]. According to industry observers, the shortage of edible fruit available for oil production will drive autumn price increases unless weather conditions stabilize quickly [1]. In France, the champagne region anticipates harvesting around mid-August, approximately one month earlier than in decades past, while French grape yields are expected to decline by roughly 10 percent compared to the previous year [1]. Maize production forecasts have also shifted, with projections of 8.2 million tonnes for this year's harvest against an official 2025 estimate of 7.75 million tonnes [1].